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We finally assess the physics performance of the LHCb experiment in the field
of rare semileptonic decays b → lls,d. These flavour changing neutral current decays occur via loop or penguin diagrams,
which makes them very sensitive to
physics beyond the Standard Model. Moreover Delta F = 1 transitions are nowadays
very weakly constrained experimentally and may thus reveal the limits of the
CKM paradigm.
Basing on a pre-existing simulation written by CDF for
B → μμK and B → μμK*, we have developed an event generator package describing
the B → μμXs decay inclusively. The hadronic Xs mass spectrum
is described as a
sum of strange hadronic resonances and fitted to theoretical
predictions. This package is available as a QQ user decay model in the
LHCb simulation framework.
We have estimated the annual event yields using the GEANT-based full detector simulation.
In spite of too low statistics for some background event samples, we have assessed
the expected event yields and S/B ratios at a sufficient level of
precision to estimate the physics yields.
Assuming BR(B → μμXs)=5.7x10-6,
we expect 24000 B → μμXs events per year at about S/B = 8. The B → μμXd channel
yields 550 events per year with about S/B = 1 assuming a CKM matrix elements ratio of
Vtd/Vts=1/30.
Several sources of background have been studied.
These results use the full potential of 2 inverse fb per year one can achieve
using also multiple pp events. We have developed a multi-primary vertex
reconstruction algorithm which allows the use of double and triple events.
These yields allow the measurement of exclusive and inclusive branching ratios
with a relative (statistical) precision of 1-2% for B → μμXs decays and
8-22% for B → μμXd. This is better than the theoretical errors on the
Standard Model estimates and thus sufficient to test the SM versus Susy
models predicting significant enhancements of these branching ratios.
The comparison of the B → μμXs and B → μμXd decays allows to extract the
Vtd/Vts CKM matrix elements ratio with a negligible theoretical error.
This sets a constraint on Vtd and thus on the unitarity triangle by
defining the length of the Rt side opposite to gamma.
After one year of data taking we expect a statistical error of
11.5 (+2.8,-3.2) for
(Vtd/Vts)2=1/30. Over the whole allowed range of this ratio,
the limit of 5% statistical error can be reached in less than 10 years of data taking.
This error of 5% is the present theoretical limit
on the precision of this ratio using the ratio of Delta ms and Delta md.
At the present theoretical knowledge, the method presented here provides thus the
most precise extraction of Vtd at LHC.
The precisions on CP asymmetries are far above the Standard Model expectations,
but of the same order as predictions from supersymmetric theories. A non-zero CP
asymmetry measurement would be a clear signal of physics beyond the Standard Model.
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